What was Donald Trump's chance of victory in 2016 according to Silver's model?
28.6%
15%
5%
50%
Answer
According to Silver’s model, Donald Trump had a 28.6% chance of winning the 2016 presidential election. This prediction went against the grain of many other forecasts and was based on Silver's analysis of polling data, historical trends, and economic indicators. Despite being lower than his opponent's chances, the model accurately called the upset victory for Trump.
Forecasting Fortunes: The Nate Silver Trivia Challenge
More Questions
Related Quizzes
Subscribe Now!
Learn something
new everyday
Playing quizzes is free! We send 1 quiz every week to your inbox